Chinese Balloon Part of Global Surveillance Program, US Alleges

    Photo: Getty Images [via BBC]

    The Facts

    • On Wednesday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken claimed that the alleged Chinese spy balloon shot down on Saturday was part of a "broader" Chinese surveillance program spanning five continents.

    • At a joint conference with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, Blinken argued that the US had not been the only objective of China's purported global surveillance program and that Washington had shared its intelligence on the balloon with dozens of countries.


    The Spin

    Pro-China narrative

    The fact that a meteorological research balloon is triggering such hype underscores that the anti-China caucus is calling the shots in Washington and trying desperately to keep the narrative of the Chinese threat thriving. That said, Washington's irrational behavior only highlights yet again that the US political system is inefficient and that its foreign policy toward China is primarily characterized by impulsive and confrontational thinking. The rest of the world has taken note.

    Anti-China narrative

    Beijing's claim that it was a weather balloon is no longer tenable in light of new findings. The incident is a teaching moment about Chinese ambitions and US vulnerability, and the Biden administration must not allow this flagrant disregard for US territorial integrity to pass without consequence. Washington shouldn't worry as much about a deterioration of US-China relations as it should about China's war hawks concluding that such provocations pose a manageable risk.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 10% chance that there will be active warfare between the US and China before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

    More neutral establishment stance articles

    Sign up to our daily newsletter