China's exports shrink unexpectedly in October from COVID curbs, rising inflation and interest rates
CNNNov 07, 2022
On the precipice of the year-end holiday season — traditionally the busiest time of the year for electronics makers — Apple has announced it expects fewer iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone Pro Max shipments than originally predicted. This is due to temporary COVID restrictions at its assembly plant in Zhengzhou, China.
China’s COVID lockdowns in Zhengzhou have affected production at the Foxconn plant, which employs around 200K people and produces the majority of new phones for Apple.
The slowdown at Foxconn and the iPhone delivery delays are the least of China’s economic problems. Exports had been a bright spot in the country’s struggling economy, however, exports and imports both were down in October and the decrease in global demand doesn’t bode well for the near future. China’s going to have to rethink some of its policies, COVID-related and otherwise.
Issues at Foxconn are merely a blip on the radar that will delay some from getting their new iPhone in time for the holiday — not a sign of any long-term issues for the PRC economy. Zhengzhou will soon have its COVID issues under control, and Foxconn is offering financial incentives for new and returning workers who will have the factory back running full tilt in no time.
There's a 50% chance that China will end its "Covid-Zero" policy by September 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.