SCOTUS Hears Arguments Over Jan. 6 Prosecutions

Photo: Duncan Lock via Wikimedia Commons

The Facts

  • The US Supreme Court (SCOTUS) is considering whether federal prosecutors can charge Jan. 6 rioters under a law that prohibits manipulating a "record, document, or other object" so it can't be used in a government proceeding, or anyone who interferes with a official proceeding.

  • During oral arguments — which pitted US Solicitor General Elizabeth Prelogar against Jeffrey Green, an attorney for Jan. 6 defendant Joseph Fischer — liberal and conservative justices seemed skeptical of the government's interpretation of the law.


The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

The government's argument began to fall apart the second Prelogar faced questions from the justices. While she claims the obstruction statute applies to Jan. 6 protesters, she then admitted that it wouldn't apply to a myriad of similar protest scenarios. The holes in Prelogar's arguments will likely haunt the Dept. of Justice as the court considers its ruling.

Democratic narrative

The irony of "tough-on-crime" Republicans defending violent insurrectionists is on full display. The obstruction provision was clearly written to prohibit criminals from blocking government proceedings — Joseph Fischer is on the record saying that he would and then physically attempting to do so. This case is cut and dry, and Republicans should support it if they're true to their principles.

Nerd narrative

There's a 30% chance that Donald J. Trump will be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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