Controversy
Benjamin Netanyahu
Ali Khamenei
ABC News
Masoud Pezeshkian
Scott Ritter
Rafael Mariano Grossi
Mehdi Hasan
+2
Status:Open

Will Iran Possess a Nuclear Weapon?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

ABC News
ABC News"They are definitely going for a nuclear weapon there is no question."Sep 13, 2025
Scott Ritter
Scott Ritter"Iran doesn't have a bomb, and doesn't appear to be trying to make a bomb."Sep 13, 2025
Ali Khamenei
Ali Khamenei"No, we're not thinking about nuclear weapons."Sep 11, 2025
Rafael Mariano Grossi
Rafael Mariano Grossi"They can have [a nuclear weapon], you know, in a matter of months, I would say."
ABC News
ABC News"Iran is close to having 5 nuclear bombs."Sep 13, 2025
Kamal Kharazi
Kamal Kharazi"If the Islamic Republic of Iran faces an existential threat, we would have no choice but to adjust our military doctrine [and produce a nuclear weapon]."Nov 02, 2024
Kelsey Davenport
Kelsey Davenport"Iran's breakout has significantly decreased over the past year, but the country's political calculus does not appear to have shifted in favor of building a bomb."Aug 15, 2020
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
Seyed Hossein Mousavian"But if the objective is regime change and they are using the nuclear just as an instrument to bring this country to a total collapse, I think Iranians ultimately would go for nuclear bomb."Jun 25, 2025
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard“The IC continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme Leader Khamenei has not authorized the nuclear weapons program that he suspended in 2003.”Jun 22, 2025
Polymarket
Polymarket"Iran may obtain nuclear weapons this year. 21% chance."Sep 11, 2025
Mehdi Hasan
Mehdi Hasan"Iran doesn't have nukes, isn't building nukes, and hasn't made the decision to build nukes."Sep 13, 2025
Masoud Pezeshkian
Masoud Pezeshkian"We have no intention of obtaining these weapons at all."Jun 16, 2025
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin NetanyahuIran could produce a nuclear weapon "within a few months, less than a year."Jun 17, 2025
Metaculus
MetaculusWill Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?
The New York Times
The New York Times"It [Iran] has already made enough fuel, enriched at 60 percent, to make four or five weapons."Feb 03, 2025
Tamir Hayman
Tamir Hayman"They are not heading toward a bomb right now: It may be in the distant future."
Barry R McCaffrey
Barry R McCaffrey"In 90 days to a year they WILL be a nuclear state."Sep 11, 2025
Iran Watch
Iran Watch"Iran's nuclear program has reached the point at which Iran might be able to enrich enough uranium for five fission weapons within about one week and enough for eight weapons in less than two weeks."Sep 11, 2025
Hui Zhang
Hui Zhang"China's experience shows that Tehran could build a bomb much faster—in as little as three to five weeks."Jan 22, 2025
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu"In recent months, Iran has taken steps that it has never taken before, steps to weaponize this enriched uranium, and if not stopped, Iran could produce a nuclear weapon in a very short time."Jun 17, 2025


© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.15.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.15.2