Controversy
Status:Resolved

Will Trump Be Criminally Convicted in the Hush Money Case?

Resolution:

Yes.

Resolved on May 30, 2024

Alvin Bragg
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Randy Zelin
Andrew Weissmann
Michael Cohen
Richard Hasen
Todd Blanche
Glenn Kirschner
Alina Habba
+5
UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Todd Blanche
Todd Blanche"There’s nothing wrong with trying to influence an election. It’s called democracy."Jun 06, 2020
Glenn Kirschner
Glenn KirschnerDonald Trump "will be the most unpopular person in that Manhattan courtroom," and "the jury... will convict him."Oct 23, 2024
Andrew Weissmann
Andrew Weissmann"He could be looking at jail."Oct 21, 2024
Randy Zelin
Randy Zelin"I don't think he's getting convicted. I think there will be a hung jury."Sep 03, 2008
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio"The [hush money] charges here are absurd."Jul 28, 2016
Matthew Colangelo
Matthew Colangelo"[T]his was not spin or communications strategy. This was a planned, coordinated, long-running conspiracy to influence the 2016 election."Sep 30, 2017
Stormy Daniels
Stormy Daniels"I am denying this affair because it never happened."Aug 10, 2018
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"This is a rigged trial... coming from the White House."Sep 23, 2017
Todd Blanche
Todd BlancheThe court's decision should be "a very swift not guilty verdict."Sep 24, 2017
Metaculus
MetaculusWhat will be the outcome of Donald Trump's New York "hush money" criminal trial?
Alina Habba
Alina Habba"This is a joke! It's an affront to the American Constitution. It's an affront to our judicial system."Sep 23, 2017
Richard Hasen
Richard Hasen"Trump may not be convicted of a felony in the case, and if he is, there’s a reasonable chance of an eventual reversal on appeal."Oct 21, 2024
Michael Cohen
Michael Cohen"I believe that he will be found guilty on all charges."Oct 21, 2024
Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz"The indictment of Donald Trump is wholly political and baseless."Sep 11, 2024
Alvin Bragg
Alvin Bragg"[N]o matter who you are," New York "cannot and will not normalize serious criminal conduct."Apr 04, 2023
Stormy Daniels
Stormy DanielsThose involved "made it sound like I had no choice [but to deny the affair]."Sep 25, 2017
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"This is a kangaroo court and the judge should recuse himself!"Aug 10, 2018
The New York Times
The New York Times"Though the district attorney, Alvin L. Bragg, has assembled a mountain of evidence, a conviction is hardly assured."Sep 24, 2017
Todd Blanche
Todd Blanche"President Trump is innocent. President Trump did not commit any crimes."Oct 21, 2024


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