Controversy
Status:Open

Will AI Surpass Human Intelligence, and When?

Elon Musk
Yoshua Bengio
Demis Hassabis
Sam Altman
Dario Amodei
Geoffrey Hinton
Yann LeCun
Gary Marcus
+3
NOT SOONSOON

Claims

Elon Musk
Elon Musk"I'd be surprised if we don't have AGI by [2029]."May 30, 2022
Sam Altman
Sam Altman"[W]e could get to real AGI in the next decade."Dec 03, 2022
Demis Hassabis
Demis HassabisWe may achieve "something like AGI or AGI-like in the next decade."Jul 11, 2023
Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus"[W]e will eventually reach AGI... and quite possibly before the end of this century."Oct 22, 2024
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey HintonCurrent AI like GPT-4 "eclipses a person" in general knowledge and could soon do so in reasoning as well.Dec 15, 2023
Elon Musk
Elon MuskAI will likely be "vastly smarter than humans" in "less than five years."Oct 22, 2024
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey Hinton"[AI] will eventually surpass the abilities of the human brain."Oct 22, 2024
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey HintonAI is "very close to it now" and will be "much more intelligent than us in the future."May 02, 2023
Elon Musk
Elon Musk"We will have, for the first time, something that is smarter than the smartest human."Nov 03, 2023
Geoffrey Hinton
Geoffrey Hinton"Digital intelligence" could overtake us within "5 to 20 years."May 03, 2023
Yann LeCun
Yann LeCunSociety is more likely to get "cat-level" or "dog-level" AI years before human-level AI.May 31, 2024
Dario Amodei
Dario Amodei"Human-level" AI could occur in "two or three years."Oct 22, 2024
Yoshua Bengio
Yoshua Bengio"Superhuman AIs" will be achieved "between a few years and a couple of decades."Jul 21, 2023
Melanie Mitchell
Melanie Mitchell"We could build a human level intelligence in principle... [but] I think we're quite far away."Aug 14, 2024
Max Tegmark
Max Tegmark"It's pretty inevitable that [AGI] is going to happen."May 03, 2022
Elon Musk
Elon Musk"We will be far, far surpassed in every single way [by AI]."Sep 15, 2024
Sam Altman
Sam AltmanAI could surpass the "expert skill level" in most fields within a decade.May 23, 2023
Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus"I don't [think] we are all that close to machines that are more intelligent than us."Oct 22, 2024


Sign up to our daily newsletter