Controversy
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Will the Average Price of Battery-Grade Lithium Carbonate Exceed $25,000 in 2027?

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Claims

Market Index
Market Index"The broker’s latest price forecasts for lithium carbonate are US$9,175 for 2025, US$10,250 for 2026, and US$12,375 for 2027."Sep 17, 2026
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs"Goldman Sachs expects lithium prices to correct in the second half of 2026, with the price per tonne of lithium carbonate equivalent falling further to $10,300–$16,000 in 2027 and 2028."Sep 17, 2026
UBS Global Wealth Management
UBS Global Wealth Management"UBS forecasts a major rally for lithium carbonate, predicting prices will trade at US$30,519 per tonne in 2026 and surge to US$41,875 per tonne in 2027."Sep 17, 2026
Intertek CEA
Intertek CEA"Global lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain below $20/kg through at least 2027."Sep 03, 2024
Bernstein
Bernstein"$32,500 for 2027 from $25,000."Sep 14, 2026
Down To Earth
Down To Earth"However, the market is expected to remain slightly oversupplied in 2027, with prices potentially easing to RMB 110,000 to RMB 130,000 per tonne in the first half of the year."Aug 25, 2026
Macquarie
Macquarie"Macquarie has flagged US$29,500 per tonne as a key psychological resistance level for lithium carbonate."Sep 17, 2026
BMI
BMI"[BMI's] carbonate forecast drops to an average of $16,500 a tonne in 2027 and bottoms at $14,500 in 2028, before recovering to $17,500 in 2029 and $18,500 in 2030."Aug 31, 2026
Shanghai Metals Market
Shanghai Metals Market"[Shanghai Metals Market expects lithium carbonate] to average around RMB150,000 (~US$21,000/t) through 2027 as supply catches up."Aug 25, 2026
Canaccord Genuity
Canaccord Genuity"Canaccord Genuity forecasts lithium carbonate at US$21,288 per tonne in 2026 and US$27,750 per tonne in 2027."Sep 17, 2026
Morning Star
Morning Star"With no changes to our outlook, we maintain our forecast for lithium prices to rise in 2024 and to average a little over $30,000 per metric ton from 2023 through 2030."Oct 19, 2023
Fastmarkets
FastmarketsThe forecast for 2026 was increased to US$23.80/kg from US$17.40/kg, while the forecast for 2027 was raised to US$31.40/kg from US$22.65/kg.Jul 07, 2026
Mining Reporters
Mining Reporters"The firm [a unit of Fitch Solutions] projects carbonate prices to average US$16,500 a tonne in 2027, declining to US$14,500 in 2028 before recovering to US$17,500 in 2029 and US$18,500 in 2030."Sep 17, 2026
BigGo Finance
BigGo Finance"The report forecasts that spodumene concentrate prices will reach $4,250 per tonne in 2027, an upgrade of 23%, while battery-grade lithium carbonate prices are hiked 47% to $41,875 per tonne."Sep 14, 2026
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All rights reserved.

Version 7.16.0