Bank of England Raises Interest Rates for Fifth Time, UK Inflation to Reach 11%

Photo: Bloomberg/Getty Images [via CNN]

The Facts

  • The Bank of England (BoE) increased interest rates by 25 basis points (0.25 percentage points) to 1.25% on Thurs., bringing its main interest rate to a 13-year high.

  • The fifth hike since Dec. comes as the BoE announced it anticipates inflation will rise above 11% in Oct., with grocery price rises potentially topping 15% over the summer.

The Spin

Narrative A

The Bank of England is acting too modestly after it successively failed to foresee inflation rises. This is a new era of instability that demands more aggressive action to deter borrowing and strengthen the UK economy.

Narrative B

Today's central bankers don't have a choice, they have to raise interest rates gingerly to tackle inflation without wrecking economic growth. Although they are doing a thankless task, they will eventually be lauded for making the difficult but right decision that risks dampening the UK economy to protect long term stability.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that the benchmark interest rate in the US will be at least 2.78% on Dec. 31, 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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