Biden convinced that Russia will invade Ukraine Within Days

    Photo: AP [via New York Post]

    The Facts

    • US President Joe Biden stated that he is convinced that Russia intends to attack Ukraine in the next few days, targeting Ukraine's capital Kyiv.

    • After weeks of uncertainty if Putin had a final decision on assaulting Ukraine, American intelligence briefings have changed Biden's judgement.


    The Spin

    Establishment-critical narrative

    Recent alarmist White House invasion predictions have failed to materialize. Even Ukraine's Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov has downplayed the threat of a Russian assault.

    Pro-establishment narrative

    In terms of combat power, logistical support, medical support and combat aviation, Russian actions near Ukraine's borders contradict the official retreat claims.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously could solve the Ukraine crisis.

    Anti-Russia narrative

    Putin wants to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes false pretext and massive bloodshed.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 77% chance Russia will invade Ukraine in 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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