Day 265 Roundup: Rockets Strike Poland, Zelenskyy Issues 'Formula for Peace'

    Photo: pravda

    The Facts

    • Poland's Bureau of National Security convened an emergency meeting on Tuesday night following reports that two people were killed after missiles landed near the country's border with Ukraine. It comes as Moscow reportedly launched dozens of missiles at targets across Ukraine, marking one of its biggest barrages since the start of the war. Russia has dismissed reports that it's to blame for the rockets that struck Poland as a "deliberate provocation aimed at escalation," and who fired the missiles remains unclear.

    • Meanwhile, as the G20 summit kicked off in Indonesia on Tuesday, Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy — whose country isn't a member of the group — addressed the leaders virtually. He issued a 10-point "formula for peace" while insisting that fighting must continue "in order to liberate our entire land from the Ruscists [sic]." He continued: "if the victory will be ours in any case — and we are sure of it — then should we not try to implement our formula for peace to save thousands of lives and protect the world from further destabilization?"


    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    Although some countries aren't demonstrating their opposition to the Kremlin too publicly — in order to avoid being caught in the middle of tensions between the US and Russia — the G20 statement will demonstrate that most countries condemn Russia's actions in Ukraine and that Moscow will continue to face isolation until it completely withdraws from the country.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    Western diplomats have made efforts to sneak language into the G20 draft statement suggesting that the whole of the group — including Russia — opposes the war in Ukraine. However, Moscow has ensured that its perspective is well-reflected in the text, and that the statement accurately reflects the varied views on the special operation of the broad range of countries in the G20.

    Nerd narrative

    There is a 2% chance that Putin and Zelenskyy will meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukraine conflict before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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