Day 11: Evacuation of Mariupol Halted for Second Day, UN Warns of Growing Refugee Crisis

    Photo: The Associated Press

    The Facts

    • A planned evacuation of the eastern port city Mariupol was paused for a second day on Sunday due to shelling. Agreements for a ceasefire to allow safe passage for civilians was reached on Thursday; both sides accuse the other of violating the terms.

    • There were also reports of shelling at an evacuation checkpoint near Kiyv, and a civilian airport in Vinnytsia was destroyed Sunday in a Russian rocket attack.


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to re-write history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 38% chance that Kyiv will fall to Russian forces by April, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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