Day 12: Humanitarian Crisis Worsens, Little Progess Made in Talks Between Kyiv and Moscow

    Image copyright: Daniel Cole/AP [via The New York Post]

    The Facts

    • A third round of peace talks betwen Kyiv and Moscow have resulted in small progress over evacuation logistics, according to Ukraine.

    • Russia earlier said it plans to temporarily halt fire and open humanitarian corridors in a number of cities after ceasefires collapsed over the weekend. Kyiv has termed the move which sets up exit routes to Russia and Belarus 'immoral'.

    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to re-write history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

    Metaculus Prediction

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