Day 186 Roundup: Zaporizhizhia Fighting Continues; Russian Recruitment Unlikely to Impact War, Says UK


The Facts

  • Ukrainian and Russian officials have confirmed that there so far have been no increased levels of radiation at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant following the latest rounds of shelling.

  • Ukraine and Russia have exchanged blame for shelling the plant over the last few weeks. On Sun., Moscow claimed a pipeline had been damaged after at least nine missiles were launched. Defence Ministry spokesperson Igor Konashenkov said three missiles landed at sites storing nuclear and radioactive waste. The claims couldn't be independently verified.

The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after an election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

Pro-Russia narrative

NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

Nerd narrative

There's a 10% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia by Dec. 31, 2022, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Establishment split



More neutral establishment stance articles

Sign up to our daily newsletter