Day 152: Ukraine Claims Kherson Will Be Recaptured by Sept. as War Enters 6th Month

    Photo: Army Inform [via Wikimedia Commons]

    The Facts

    • Ukrainian officials claimed that Kyiv's forces have reached a "turning point" in the battle to retake the southern region of Kherson, which was captured by Russia on Mar. 3, and that Western weapons will help liberate the city by September.

    • It comes as Russian media reported that officials in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia are preparing to hold referendums in Sept. on the regions joining the Russian Federation. Vladimir Rogov, a member of Russia's military administration in Zaporizhzhia, said: "It is highly likely that the referendum will be held simultaneously in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions, as successes on the line of contact have assured security."


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after an election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

    Nerd narrative

    There is a 2% chance that NATO will declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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