Day 119 Roundup: Russia Advances in East; Ukraine Claims 'Significant' Russian Losses in Attack on Snake Island

    Photo: Reuters

    The Facts

    • Ukrainian forces on Tues. launched an attack on the Black Sea island of Zmiinyi, also known as Snake Island, and claimed to have inflicted "significant losses" to Russian troops stationed there, according to a spokesperson for Odesa's military administration.

    • Russia's defense ministry confirmed the attack but claimed it shot down 13 unmanned drones and that its air defenses successfully repelled all missiles headed for the island. Neither the Ukrainian nor Russian claims on damage inflicted could be independently verified.


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

    Nerd narrative

    There is a 20% chance that Ukraine will receive a security guarantee from another country before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

    More neutral establishment stance articles

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