Day 220: US Cools Ukraine's NATO Aspirations, Sends $12B in Aid ;Russian Troops Withdraw From Lyman

Photo: Getty Images [via Newsweek]

The Facts

  • After Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced he had taken the "decisive step" for the country to join the NATO military alliance on Friday, the US has – for now at least – thrown water on the idea.

  • In a video message announcing the move, Zelenskyy said: "De facto, we have already made our way to NATO. De facto, we have already proven compatibility with alliance standards. They are real for Ukraine – real on the battlefield and in all aspects of our interaction." Addressing the issue at a White House press conference on Friday, US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said efforts to join NATO "should be taken up at a different time."


The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Zelenskyy's bid to join NATO is nothing more than a provocation that won't bring anything to fruition. Due to the current situation, NATO's members will be hesitant to accept the bid, as it would result in a direct conflict between the alliance and Russia. This wasted retaliation in response to the reunification of Russian territories is likely to fall on deaf ears.

Anti-Russia narrative

Russia's unprovoked war against Ukraine is the very thing that's pushing Kyiv straight into NATO's arms. While it remains to be seen whether all 30 members will welcome Ukraine, Zelenskyy's fast-track application takes a strong stance against Putin's illegitimate referenda and exposes that Putin is failing in one of his primary goals.

Nerd narrative

There is a 1% chance that NATO will declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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