India and PRC Begin Pullback from Disputed Border

Photo: AFP/Getty Images [via DW]

The Facts

  • On Thurs., China and India announced that their troops have begun to "disengage in a coordinated and planned way" from patrolling 'Post-15' in the Gogra-Hotspring area of eastern Ladakh.

  • The retreat from the area known in China as 'Jianan Daban' was agreed upon in the 16th round of Corps Commander-level military meetings in July between the two nations. Completion of the withdrawal is expected by Sept. 12.

The Spin

Narrative A

Working through these issues can help forge a strong and dynamic relationship between these two Asian powers. On the world stage, the mutual withdrawal also showcases Beijing's ability to broker a positive environment for resolving conflicts in the region.

Narrative B

This process is going to be long and complex. While it's a much-needed step toward achieving a peaceful solution to this tense border standoff, many steps remain. Both the PRC and India must continue to comply with the terms of the agreement and focus on any issues that result. The devil will be in the details.

Nerd narrative

There's a 30% chance that there will be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between India and China before 2024, according to the Metaculs prediction community.

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