Report: Amazon Rainforest Nears "Dieback" Tipping Point

    Photo: Victor Moriyama [via The NYT]

    The Facts

    • According to a new report in Nature Climate Change, the Amazon rainforest is nearing a tipping point that could see much of it become savannah.

    • More than three-quarters of the rainforest has become less resilient to drought since the early 2000s.


    The Spin

    Narrative A

    The Amazon's tipping point is a huge issue for our global climate emergency. This study shows that the rainforest is on its way to being a much-feared net emitter of CO2 by 2050. There's still a window to take action, but we're running out of precious time.

    Narrative B

    This doesn't merit the hysteria. Researchers know the Amazon isn't the "lungs of the world"--it takes in as much oxygen as it puts out. As deforestation continues, the resulting farms and pastures will still produce a lot of oxygen. Plus, 80% of the Amazon still remains today, with 50% of it fully protected. The alarmism doesn't match the ecological reality.

    Nerd narrative

    The Metaculus Community predicts that 13.3 million hectares of tree coverage will be lost in Brazil in the three-year period starting from 2020.


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