Report: Russia in Historic Foreign Debt Default

    Report: Russia in Historic Foreign Debt Default
    Image copyright: Unsplash

    The Spin


    Anti-Russia narrative

    Even if Russia moved the money to some escrow account as it claims, the obligations of the bonds aren't met until the funds have been released and bondholders confirm receipt. Russia cannot claim it had no other choice – it chose to wage its invasion into Ukraine and hasn't backed down in the face of sanctions.


    Pro-Russia narrative

    Russia's foreign debts amount to $57B, but it has foreign reserves of nearly $600B. America and the EU are putting up false barriers to prevent Russia from repaying its loan obligations, which is giving the appearance of a default. Anyone who looks can see this isn't a default at all.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

    More neutral establishment stance articles

    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

    Sign Up!
    Sign Up Now!