Russia-Ukraine Day 116 Roundup: Fuel Depot In Ukraine Explodes; Conflict Tests Morale on Both Sides

    Image copyright: Getty Images [via CBC News]

    The Facts

    • On Sun., a fuel storage depot in the eastern Ukrainian town of Novomoskovsk exploded after three Russian missiles struck it earlier on Sat., according to the head of the regional administration. 11 civilians were reportedly injured in the strike, while one was killed and two others injured in the explosion.

    • Lithuania has now banned the transit of goods through its territory from the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad - located between Lithuania and Poland, with no Russian land border. The ban reportedly took effect on Sat. and applies to goods transported by rail that are subject to EU sanctions, such as construction materials, coal, and some technologies.


    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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