Sturgeon 'Confident' of Scotland's Independence Vote

    Photo: scotsman

    The Facts

    • Scotland's first minister Nicola Sturgeon has stated that plans are "ready to go" to legislate for a second Scottish referendum vote in October 2023, following the 2014 referendum where Scots rejected independence by 55% to 45%.

    • Sturgeon argued that voters backed pro-independence parties in Scottish parliament elections last year and stated that she was "confident Scotland is going to become independent."

    The Spin

    Left narrative

    The refusal by Westminster to entertain the prospect of a second independence referendum is anti-democratic. However, as long as the Tories are in power, this will seemingly not change. Nobody is calling for the SNP to give up on dreams of independence, but progressive parties need to unite around a common cause of pushing the Conservatives out of Downing Street before real talks can begin.

    Right narrative

    Sturgeon, despite everything else going on in the world, is still fixated on Scottish Independence. Her voice is that of dangerous, intolerant, and tribalist nationalism. The SNP is only presiding over a declining economy and public services that show that her party is not fit to take care of Scotland.

    Nerd narrative

    There is a 20% chance that Scotland will leave the United Kingdom before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

    Political split



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