This deal demonstrates that, with careful negotiation, the US government and the Taliban can agree on shared problems. Perhaps this swap could lead to further progress in other discussions, and enhanced stability in Afghanistan, which is struggling deeply and growing isolated from the global community.
Despite this deal, the US government and the Taliban remain oceans apart. Not only is the US refusing to release Afghanistan's $9B in funds, but there are also ongoing concerns about human rights, including freedom of speech and girls' education in the country. Deep tensions remain between the Taliban and the international community, making a meaningful detente suspect at best.
There's a 25% chance that the United States will recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.