Trump Org. Tax Fraud Trial: Jury Deliberations Begin

    Photo: businessinsider

    The Facts

    • On Monday, jury deliberations began in the Trump Organization tax fraud trial. The company has been accused in New York of compensating top executives off the books for around 15 years.

    • The trial has featured four weeks of testimony and arguments surrounding the real estate company's pay practices.

    The Spin

    Pro-Trump narrative

    This case is another attempt to undermine Trump and his organization with frivolous lawsuits. Weisselberg has already pleaded guilty and is the clear culprit behind the alleged scheme, yet the former president's opposition is quick to use this as a weapon against him. Democrats seemingly won’t stop until they’ve bled Trump dry via legal warfare.

    Democratic narrative

    Attempts to separate Trump from the fraud committed by his company are naïve. While the former president may not be on trial, in this case, there's no doubt that the businessman was fully aware of Weisselberg's — and the rest of the company's — doings. The defense inevitably has a losing case.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 16% chance that Trump will be jailed or incarcerated before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

    Establishment split



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