US Housing Market Slump Deepens

    Photo: Al Jazeera

    The Facts

    • The US housing market slump deepened in November as sales slowed for the tenth consecutive month, the longest stretch on record since 1999.

    • The National Association of Realtors said today that existing home sales fell 7.7% from October to November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.09M, which is below expectations. Housing sales fell 35.4% from a year earlier, the steepest decline since May 2020.

    The Spin

    Establishment-critical narrative

    The Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hiking cycle is going to cause serious damage to the economy, and its inflation targets are no longer credible. The Fed's current plan is going to push the US economy into a recession — they are underestimating the risk of recession while overestimating the risk of inflation as a way of justifying their hawkish rate increases.

    Pro-establishment narrative

    Increased apartment building construction may lead to a decrease in rent, which could help lower inflation. That could pave the way for the Fed to ease up on its campaign to increase rates, which may also moderate mortgage rates. The Fed is carefully calibrating its approach based on rapidly changing conditions.

    Establishment split



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