US Midterms: Biden Warns of Risk to Democracy, Trump Hints at Another Run

    Photo: Saul Loeb/AFP [via France 24]

    The Facts

    • Only a day before Americans head to the polls for the midterm elections, Pres. Biden warned on Monday that a GOP victory could harm democracy, and former Pres. Trump suggested that he might declare another presidential run by next week.

    • Speaking at a rally in Ohio, Trump said that “we want nothing to detract from the importance of tomorrow,” but he added that he would make a "very big announcement" on Nov. 15, a week after the vote.


    The Spin

    Republican narrative

    With Republicans showing gains in the polls nationwide, Democrats have been reduced to sending the deeply unpopular Biden to the campaign trail. Even in supposedly safe blue areas, the Democratic face a potential "red wave" to his party's woke social policies and economic agenda. This referendum on Biden's presidency will reflect a record of failure.

    Democratic narrative

    In elections with so many too-close-to-call races, Biden has focused strategically on retaining and sparking enthusiasm in typically Democrat-supporting districts. Democratic campaigning has also highlighted those GOP election deniers who continue to make baseless claims about the 2020 presidential results. Despite what the poll numbers suggest, Democrats have made a strong push in the final hour.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 60% chance that the Republican party will control both the House and the Senate after the 2022 midterm elections, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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