At Least 8 Dead in Kherson Floods as Zelenskyy Visits Region

Image copyright: Armyinform [via Wikimedia]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Only Russia would benefit from bringing down the Nova Kakhovka dam. Such a move protects its forces from any Ukrainian offensives in the Kherson region. Ukraine has nothing to gain by causing the floods and harming its own military and economic interests.

Pro-Russia narrative

Ukraine is responsible for causing the dam collapse, knowing that it has the full backing of its Western partners and that it can act with impunity. Ukrainian officials had even told the Washington Post that it conducted test strikes against the Nova Kakhovka dam to cause the exact consequences we are now seeing.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

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