Bolivia's Evo Morales Banned From Entering Peru

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Latin America's leftist establishment only seems to oppose right-wing coups. Castillo's announcement to dissolve Congress was a clear coup attempt that violated the Peruvian constitution, but instead of condemning Castillo, left-wing leaders are now complaining about his ouster. Astonishingly, a leftist leader like Morales is now advocating for "democracy" while he himself remained in power long beyond his constitutional term and blatantly rigged Bolivia's 2019 elections. By siding with Castillo, Latin America's left is unmasking itself.

Establishment-critical narrative

Morales has every right to stand up for the largely poor and indigenous protesters and for Castillo's release, given the current Peruvian government's lack of any true democratic legitimacy. The outrage of Peruvians who voted for Castillo is justified as it was the US that interfered in Peru's internal affairs to remove Castillo and eventually install Boluarte in power. It's not leftist leaders like Morales who are jeopardizing democracy in Latin America, but Washington and its policy of meddling in its supposed Latin American backyard.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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