China's Xi May Skip G20 Summit

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The Facts

  • Chinese Pres. Xi Jinping is likely to miss the G20 summit in New Delhi, India, between Sept. 9-10, according to multiple anonymous government officials.

  • While neither China nor India has officially commented on the matter, a senior Indian government official told Reuters that Chinese Premier Li Qiang would represent the country instead.

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

It's up to India at the G20 summit to, with the help of the US, project its power in light of China's border claims and show that it is moving away from Chinese dependency. As both China and India continue to joust with one another, India must put its best foot forward and project itself at such an important event as a nation that must be respected in the same manner as any other global superpower.

Pro-China narrative

Although India and China remain at odds over several flashpoints, they're aligned on several key issues. The West, however, is quick to exaggerate any differences at the first sign of trouble — while ignoring its own differences with New Delhi — in order to polarize Beijing and contain its expanding influence. These deliberate disruptions will only hinder global cooperation.

Nerd narrative

There's a 15% chance of a China-India war by 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Establishment split



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