Syria’s Deir ez-Zor facing risks more dangerous than ISIS
North press agencySep 04, 2023
Clashes in eastern Syria, which began last week between the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and tribal militiamen in the country's Deir ez-Zor governorate, have continued in a number of towns and villages along the Euphrates, leaving scores of dead and wounded.
The conflict was sparked after the SDF detained Ahmad al-Khbeil, the commander of the Deir ez-Zor Military Council (DMC) — a group nominally allied with the SDF — accusing him of drug trafficking, nepotism, mismanaging local security, and coordinating with "external entities hostile to the revolution."
The current clashes in Deir ez-Zor were caused by outside powers and the mercenary tactics employed by al-Khabil and his cronies. The SDF consistently makes sure to include Arabs in its administrative structure, and outside actors, such as Turkey, Iran, and the Syrian regime have attempted to stoke anti-Kurdish sentiment to weaken the SDF for selfish geopolitical gain. The SDF will continue to prevent criminals from running amok in Deir ez-Zor.
The true cause of this fighting and social disintegration is the American occupation of Syria. Arab tribes from Syria's oil-rich northeast have, for years, denounced the occupation and expressed their support for the Syrian government. Tribesmen have also accused the US and its proxies of trying to disperse their loyalties, provoke internal fighting, and weaken their ranks to keep them away from the popular resistance. The international community must demand that the US end its illegal occupation of Syrian land.
Ultimately, these clashes are the result of local dynamics, and the influence of outside powers should not be overstated. Corrupt commanders within the DMC felt they were in danger after al-Khabil was arrested and have tried to turn the current fighting into a tribal or ethnic conflict to give a pretext for their more selfish motives. This fight is between the SDF and elements in Deir ez-Zor that feel politically disenfranchised.
There's a 50% chance that Syria will no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war by February 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.