Day 385: Russian Ambassador to US Summoned Over Black Sea Drone Crash

Image copyright: US Air Force [via Popular Science]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The US drone was conducting routine operations in international waters. The actions of Russian pilots were unsafe, unprofessional and a brazen violation of international law. This incident could have led to a dangerous escalation between two nuclear-armed superpowers.

Pro-Russia narrative

The US drone strayed into a restricted zone with its transponders turned off. It did this to gather intelligence which would be used in Ukrainian attacks on Russia and its armed forces. This was a hostile act and Russia responded to the threat appropriately.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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