Day 365: Tensions Rise Over Breakaway Region of Transnistria

Image copyright: [via Sky News]

The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Ukrainian forces are planning a "false-flag operation" in Transnistria to justify launching an invasion of the region. Russia's defense ministry is closely monitoring the situation and will respond accordingly to any changes.

Anti-Russia narrative

Russia's claims about a "false-flag operation" in Transnistria are likely a cover for its potential plans to invade Moldova. Not only would this flagrantly violate the sovereignty of another country, but it could also open up a western front in its war with Ukraine.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!