One year into Russia's brutal invasion of Ukraine, allowing Moscow to achieve its goals and subvert the norms of international law and territorial sovereignty would be a moral travesty. The West must ensure Ukraine is well armed so that it can drive Russia out and prevent it from launching further invasions.
Since the war began, Western countries have poured fuel to the fire by relentlessly providing weapons to Ukraine — motivated by a desire to degrade Russia on the world stage, the West has dragged out the conflict rather than sought mediation. Ukrainians have paid the price for this with the destruction of their homeland and energy infrastructure, as well as through the deaths of thousands of soldiers. It's time to seek a political settlement.
There's a 24% chance that there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.