Day 366: Zelenskyy Pledges Ukrainian Victory on One-Year Anniversary of Invasion

    Photo: Ukrainian Presidential Press Office [via AP News]

    The Facts

    • As Friday marked the one-year anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy commemorated those that had died defending their country, meanwhile pledging this would be the year of Ukrainian victory on the battlefield.

    • "It was a year of pain, sorrow, faith and unity. And this is a year of our invincibility. We know that this will be the year of our victory!" Zelenskyy wrote in an early morning message on Telegram. He also spoke at a commemorative event in Kyiv, attended by defense minister Oleksii Reznikov and commander-in-chief of Ukraine's armed forces Valery Zaluzhnyi, as well as other officials.


    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    One year into Russia's brutal invasion of Ukraine, allowing Moscow to achieve its goals and subvert the norms of international law and territorial sovereignty would be a moral travesty. The West must ensure Ukraine is well armed so that it can drive Russia out and prevent it from launching further invasions.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    Since the war began, Western countries have poured fuel to the fire by relentlessly providing weapons to Ukraine — motivated by a desire to degrade Russia on the world stage, the West has dragged out the conflict rather than sought mediation. Ukrainians have paid the price for this with the destruction of their homeland and energy infrastructure, as well as through the deaths of thousands of soldiers. It's time to seek a political settlement.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 24% chance that there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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