Day 366: Zelenskyy Pledges Ukrainian Victory on One-Year Anniversary of Invasion

Image copyright: Ukrainian Presidential Press Office [via AP News]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

One year into Russia's brutal invasion of Ukraine, allowing Moscow to achieve its goals and subvert the norms of international law and territorial sovereignty would be a moral travesty. The West must ensure Ukraine is well armed so that it can drive Russia out and prevent it from launching further invasions.

Establishment-critical narrative

Since the war began, Western countries have poured fuel to the fire by relentlessly providing weapons to Ukraine — motivated by a desire to degrade Russia on the world stage, the West has dragged out the conflict rather than sought mediation. Ukrainians have paid the price for this with the destruction of their homeland and energy infrastructure, as well as through the deaths of thousands of soldiers. It's time to seek a political settlement.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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