Egypt's el-Sissi Wins Third Presidential Term

Egypt's el-Sissi Wins Third Presidential Term
Image copyright: Sean Gallup/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Despite the ongoing economic crisis, Egyptians flocked to polls as they had never done before with the clear intent to express their opposition to the catastrophic war in Gaza and their support to Pres. el-Sissi — a stabilizing force in the region. The nation has delivered him such a resounding victory as it appreciates his leadership.

Pro-establishment narrative

Egyptian authorities have orchestrated an essentially sham election to let el-Sissi claim a broad mandate to advance some unpopular policies to deal with challenges that include the war in Gaza and the economic crisis — even harassing supporters of his main challenger to drop him out of the race. However, if he continues to fail to solve the problems, it's very likely that his mandate will not last.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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