Final Arguments Scheduled in Musk's $56B Tesla Pay Plan Trial

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The Spin

Narrative B

This compensation plan was granted to Musk — who took on high risk to achieve a high reward — because of his paramount role in Tesla's success. Though Tesla skeptics ridiculed his decisions at the time, Musk's management has resulted in the carmaker increasing its value from $59B to $600B and achieving almost all its stipulated performance targets.

Narrative A

This compensation plan is clearly excessive. Musk has benefited from his influence over the board's committee – which falsely claimed it had no conflicts of interest – and been rewarded for his part-time management role at Tesla, largely on the grounds of milestones that had already been achieved when shareholders voted.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.14.0