Kremlin: US Waging War Against Russia by Controlling Ukraine Military Actions

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The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Providing Kyiv with long-range missiles or NATO's military expansion in the Arctic undermines regional security and warrants countermeasures from Moscow. Russia is not a threat to anyone — the real threat emanates from the White House, which is trying to increase its security posture at the expense of upsetting the regional balance and prolonging the conflict.

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukraine acquiring the long-range tactical ballistic missiles would equip Kyiv to strike key Russian command posts, formidable air defense systems, and high-value Russian military targets in occupied territory. It would also constrain Russian logistics — essential to helping Ukrainian troops break through Moscow's defenses and push south toward the coast.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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