Niger: Ecowas military intervention could trigger 3 bad outcomes


This dangerous pact is a reaction to the West's ongoing plunder of the continent's natural resources and the ECOWAS' intrusive plan to use force to "restore constitutional rule" in Niger. Both France and the US are responsible for creating significant divisions and heightening regional tensions. All of this could soon cause a full-blown war in the Sahel region.
It would be foolish to call this pact an act of anti-imperialist resistance, as the powerful and privileged high-ranking army officers have toppled democratically-elected governments to serve their interests. If allowed to go unabated, they will forcefully suppress the voice of the people they claim to represent when it fits their agenda.
There's a 2% chance that ECOWAS will intervene militarily in Niger before Oct. 1, 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.