Myanmar: Attack on Refugee Camp Kills at Least 29

Image copyright: Voice of America [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Facts

  • On Monday night, at least 29 people were killed in an aerial strike on a camp of internally displaced people in Northern Myanmar near the border with China.

  • The rebel Kachin Independence Army was investigating whether Myanmar's military had used a drone in the attack as the locals reportedly "did not hear any aircraft."


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Regional stakeholders such as ASEAN and China have sought to smooth things over to ensure peace and stability in Myanmar, but Western support for armed resistance and extremist political action have bolstered pro-NUG militants to descend the country into civil war. Myanmar is in chaos, and the NUG's calls for revolution will only worsen it.

Pro-establishment narrative

The international community must remain firm against Myanmar's war-criminal military rule, imposing further coordinated sanctions on the junta and supporting the pro-democracy NUG. Otherwise, the military will continue to step up its aerial offensive to indiscriminately kill civilians and violently suppress resistance to its takeover.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Myanmar will no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war by 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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