North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un Travels to Russia

Image copyright: Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

North Korea is one of the only nations to have backed Russia's invasion of Ukraine from within the UN, despite the unsteady and dangerous relationship the two countries have held for several decades. North Korea remains an unreliable partner and Moscow must seriously consider whether it wishes to place such powerful military technology in the hands of Kim Jong Un. While such a move may benefit Russia in Ukraine in the short-term, the decision could be crippling for global security in the years to come.

Establishment-critical narrative

While the West continues to impose a variety of sanctions against Russia and North Korea, for many other nations it is business as usual in their relationship with the two countries. Any exchange of nuclear secrets is unlikely to occur, but the threat of such a reality is useful in keeping the US, South Korea, and Japan at bay. Russia and North Korea have an amicable diplomatic history, and though relations have not always been smooth, a rekindling of this partnership while the West unifies against the two should not come as a surprise.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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