Opening Statements Presented in Bankman-Fried Trial

Opening Statements Presented in Bankman-Fried Trial
Photo: Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

The Facts

  • On Wednesday, opening statements were made in front of a jury of 10 women and two men in the criminal trial of former cryptocurrency entrepreneur Sam Bankman-Fried in a downtown Manhattan courtroom.

  • Bankman-Fried, who founded the now-bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX, and sister hedge fund Alameda Research, is accused of diverting billions of FTX customers’ money to risky trades at Alameda and unlawful purchases.


The Spin

Narrative A

There was no fraud committed here. Anyone investing with FTX knew the risks involved and was informed about their money being shared with Alameda. All decisions made by Bankman-Fried were made above board, and had it not been for a run on FTX it would still be rolling along.

Narrative B

Whether the defense tries to paint Bankman-Fried as a good-faith actor or a naive math nerd, there are numerous technical reasons not to believe the story Bankman-Fried’s lawyers are telling. What it comes down to is that Bankman-Fried was living in a $30M penthouse while he was betting big with clients’ money, and now their money is gone. This doesn't look good for the former crypto czar.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Sam Bankman-Fried will be sentenced to at least 188 months in prison before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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