Palestine's Abbas to Visit China After Mediation Offer

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The Spin

Pro-China narrative

After successfully mediating the reconciliation between Iran and Saudi Arabia, Beijing is now working to build on this positive trend and promote an enduring two-state solution for the Palestine-Israel conflict. The Palestinian issue is central to the Middle East's peace and stability as well as to global justice, and it has long remained unsettled because of Washington's unproductive favoritism to Israel.

Anti-China narrative

China has made empty promises to fix Israeli-Palestinian relations for years, so Pres. Abbas should not expect much from this new round of flattery. Despite inviting the Palestinian leader for similar talks in 2013 and 2017, Israel in 2018 was the world's leading importer of Chinese goods and China was the second-largest importer of Israeli goods. Any peace talks initiated by Beijing will likely be more repackaged "four-point plans" that lead nowhere.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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