Papua New Guinea, US Sign Security Pact

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The Facts

  • On Monday, US Sec. of State Antony Blinken signed a defense and maritime surveillance agreement on behalf of the US with Papua New Guinea (PNG). The pact bolsters military cooperation, increases the Pacific island nation's defense capabilities, and protects its economy from illegal fishing.

  • The defense pact will give US forces access to PNG's airfields and ports as Washington tries to fend off China's rise in the Pacific. Washington has growing concerns about Beijing's increasing influence in the region after the Solomon Islands signed a security pact with Beijing last year.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The US defense pact with the PNG should be seen in light of last year's security pact between the Solomon Islands and China. Since then, the US has increased its focus on the Pacific, trying to find better ways to cooperate and bring in aid and investment as a way to counter the rather aggressive PRC investments to influence the Pacific region. The agreement will also allow the US Coast Guard to partner with the PNG to counter illegal fishing and drug smuggling. It's a win-win for all.

Establishment-critical narrative

There are valid concerns that PNG will be dragged into the militarization of the Pacific when signing the security pact with the US because of the island nation's proximity to the "AUKUS" security pact. A leaked draft treaty revealed the deal would give the US armed forces uninhibited access to PNG's territorial waters and airspace. Of particular concern are immunity clauses for US defense personnel operating in the country, which some fear could be unconstitutional. There have also been objections that the whole deal lacks transparency.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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