Regional Voting Begins in Two Indian States

Regional Voting Begins in Two Indian States
Image copyright: Abhishek Chinnappa/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

As voting takes place in multiple states this month, including Chhattisgarh, it is important to remember how much violence and left-wing extremism has been inflicted against the Modi government. Prime Minister Modi and the BJP are focused on making all of India safer so that people can live and thrive in peace. Modi’s government has done wonders for Chhattisgarh in particular, and the BJP will ride the prime minister's success to a resounding electoral victory.

Narrative B

As Modi’s right-wing policies leave many poor people behind, Congress' focus on economic subsidies will play a major role in its political revival. While the BJP has maintained electoral dominance for some time, its power is fraying at the state level, and the opposition alliance will have an opportunity to pry back control. While Modi may win reelection next year, the BJP is at risk of losing support in the long run, and November's election could be the beginning of a major political shift.

Metaculus Prediction


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