Despite Western promises of government enforcement and UN agencies spending millions of dollars to fix the country's socio-economic woes, Afghans have suffered instability for decades. However, the Taliban has been able to enforce its writ and be more successful in cracking down on opium than any foreign agent has ever previously managed. The Taliban is attempting to resurrect the country's economy, without the help of Western aid, by banning a harmful and illicit substance — the relative success of this endeavor should not be understated.
The Taliban's war on drugs has banned the sole cash crop relied on by many Afghan families attempting to survive amid a devastating economic crisis. With international aid and trade largely suspended, the curb on meth and opium production has put millions at risk of starvation. As there are zero economic benefits, the purported ban on narcotics will only become a costly political mistake that devastates rural farmers, exacerbates the misery of addicts, and enriches the Taliban.
There's a 47% chance that Taliban-controlled Afghanistan will be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism by 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.