Report: Kyiv's Counteroffensive Will Fail to Meet Key Goal

Image copyright: US Defense Dept. [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Narrative A

Ukraine will likely fail to make significant advances in its counteroffensive and is expected to fall well short of its stated goals. Even if Ukraine can penetrate Russia's multilayered defenses, how much further would these forces realistically be able to advance?

Narrative B

While the Ukrainian offensive may be advancing slowly against well-prepared Russian defensive lines, they continue to push forward and gain momentum in several axes of attack. Kyiv's forces will undoubtedly achieve their goals.

Metaculus Prediction


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