Russian General Seen in Public for First Time Since Wagner Mutiny

    Image copyright: Kremlin Press Office [via Wikimedia Commons]

    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    According to US officials, Surovikin knew in advance about Prigozhin's rebellion but failed to act or inform his higher-ups. This is the reason for his short-term imprisonment and his disappearance from public view.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    Claims that Surovikin had prior knowledge of the mutiny are simply gossip and speculation, aimed at creating discord within the Russian military. His removal from his post was for unrelated reasons that remain undisclosed.

    Metaculus Prediction

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