St Petersburg Blast Kills Russian Blogger, Injures 32 More

Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

The murder of the Russian military blogger took place inside a café owned by Wagner PMC head Yevgeny Prigozhin. This was likely intended as a warning to Prigozhin, who has questioned the Kremlin's talking points on Ukraine, and was part of an effort by Russian authorities to consolidate control of the information space.

Pro-Russia narrative

This was a despicable act of terrorism that resulted in the death of one person and injured 30 more. Russia's National Antiterrorism Committee is still investigating the crime and it remains too early to identify the motive. However, there are signs that Ukraine's Security Service may have had a hand to play.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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