UK: 56 Labour Lawmakers Vote for Gaza Ceasefire

UK: 56 Labour Lawmakers Vote for Gaza Ceasefire
Image copyright: Peter Nicholls/Getty Images News via Getty Images (Oct 31. 2023)

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Those calling for a ceasefire are not blind to the suffering of Israelis or the brutality of Hamas. What they understand is that since both strategies require trust in Hamas not to use the downtime as an opportunity to regroup, a longer ceasefire would allow for rebuilding critical infrastructure. A ceasefire is a longer version of a humanitarian pause, which is what innocent Palestinians need if they're going to get the food, water, and medical attention they need within that timeframe.

Pro-establishment narrative

The back-and-forth nature of this decades-long conflict has proven that Hamas, not the Palestinian people, will never agree to any form of peaceful pause in violence. While humanitarian aid should be given to the many innocent civilians caught in the crossfire, Israel now has a duty to finally free both sides from the evil pursuits of this terror group. Both Israelis and Palestinians want permanent peace, but that will not happen until the root of this tragedy is demolished for good.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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