Ukraine Claims Attack on Moscow, Russia Warns of Retaliation

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The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Ukraine, in a desperate attempt to show strength in the face of its failed counteroffensive, has chosen to target vulnerable civilian sites in Moscow. Though Russia continues to effortlessly block most of these drone strikes — as shown by its defense of the Crimean ammunition depot — the Russian people should expect more cowardly attacks. It's only right that Moscow responds forcefully to protect its civilian population.

Anti-Russia narrative

If anyone is failing it's Vladimir Putin. His goal from the beginning was to erase Ukraine from the map and claim it as his own; but in reality, he has only obtained a few parts of Eastern Ukraine and is now seeing it stripped away from him. Kyiv is already regaining its territory and, since its counteroffensive has only just begun, Putin should be worried about his chances in the coming months.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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