Ukraine Claims Gains Near Bakhmut

Image copyright: [via Ukraine's Presidential Press Office]

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Despite fierce fighting, Ukrainian forces continue to drive back Russian troops and are gradually expelling them out of the territory of Ukraine. Fighting will not cease until Ukraine accomplishes this aim.

Establishment-critical narrative

Ukraine will likely fail to make significant advances in its counteroffensive and is expected to fall well short of its stated goals. Even if Ukraine is able to penetrate Russia's multilayered defenses, how much further would these forces realistically be able to advance?

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!